Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 22.246331 25.748594 29.537995 33.932212 38.876505 44.256549 50.542219
2025-02-09 16.263669 21.096523 26.835329 34.099750 42.992525 53.463041 66.657353
2025-02-16 12.595174 17.920597 24.731941 33.962849 46.009591 61.047478 81.066556
2025-02-23 10.052509 15.497452 22.918859 33.568602 48.217258 67.386047 94.040767
2025-03-02 8.265562 13.697035 21.530906 33.348684 50.355025 73.514887 106.912498
2025-03-09 6.898267 12.226534 20.322430 33.101331 52.247440 79.254150 119.453052
2025-03-16 5.428682 10.317428 18.153374 31.101224 51.295760 80.784070 126.052682
2025-03-23 4.861305 9.781003 18.014649 32.125022 54.839594 88.912901 142.480153
2025-03-30 4.461667 9.461041 18.164674 33.579598 59.104672 98.317142 161.266081
2025-04-06 3.773785 8.492856 17.080257 32.854583 59.796344 102.271464 172.014213
2025-04-13 3.083609 7.391971 15.605109 31.273927 58.899172 103.613569 178.722899
2025-04-20 2.905921 7.294374 15.946033 32.903967 63.481689 113.898120 199.940152
2025-04-27 2.841254 7.456013 16.851087 35.744610 70.540698 128.912127 230.011528
2025-05-04 2.521675 7.006934 16.520888 36.283731 73.658144 137.716897 250.711127
2025-05-11 2.188750 6.458373 15.909604 36.207068 75.641804 144.714960 268.807343
2025-05-18 1.878942 5.896395 15.182639 35.803003 76.952315 150.586504 285.267729
2025-05-25 1.627717 5.425873 14.581390 35.572868 78.541637 156.996987 302.928973
2025-06-01 1.410430 4.994796 14.001948 35.311829 80.023541 163.263973 320.613351
2025-06-08 1.121244 4.282248 12.643665 33.197095 77.626342 162.288330 325.424660
2025-06-15 1.037374 4.165094 12.720999 34.279752 81.781913 173.651593 352.841847
2025-06-22 0.981794 4.125070 12.987410 35.817472 86.981314 187.235923 384.881702
2025-06-29 0.834735 3.743235 12.303262 35.051082 87.252359 191.414781 399.820280
2025-07-06 0.676763 3.272470 11.295869 33.379761 85.418367 191.373210 406.853952